'Sounding the alarm': World likely to temporarily pass 1.5C limit by 2028, UN weather agency warns
t's also likely that at least one of the next five years will set a new temperature record, the World Meteorological Organization has said.
There is an 80 per cent chance that average global temperatures will surpass the 1.5C target laid out in the landmark Paris climate accord for at least one of the next five years, according to World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predictions.
It is also likely - an 86 per cent chance - that at least one of these years will set a new temperature record, beating 2023 which is currently the warmest year.
A new report from the UN weather agency released on Wednesday says that the global mean near-surface temperature for each year from 2024 to 2028 is expected to range between 1.1C and 1.9C hotter than at the start of the industrial era.
It also estimated that there’s nearly a one-in-two chance 47 per cent that the average global temperatures over that entire five-year span could top 1.5C.
This is an increase from just under a one-in-three chance projected for the 2023 to 2027 span. In 2015, such a chance was close to zero and has been rising ever since.
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